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基于熵值法—突变理论的煤矿自燃火灾安全评价研究

Research on Safety Evaluation of Spontaneous Combustion in Coal Mine based on Entropy Method and Catastrophe Theory

  • 摘要: 针对我国煤矿自燃火灾影响因素多、发生过程复杂多样的问题,提出熵值法和突变理论相结合的煤矿自燃火灾安全评价方法,建立了4级煤矿自燃火灾安全评价指标体系,包含3个二级指标:人的因素、物的因素、环境与管理,7个三级指标和19个四级指标。根据贵州松河煤矿的实际情况,运用该评价方法对其进行了自燃火灾评价,得到该矿总突变隶属值为0.612,属于一般安全煤矿,且在环境与管理指标中采空区漏风较为严重、聚热散热条件较差、遗煤落煤较多是造成煤矿安全性较低的主要原因,符合该矿基本安全状况,验证了该评价方法的实用性。

     

    Abstract: In view of the problem that multiple factors in fluencing the spontaneous combustion of coal mines, and the process of it is complex and varied, a method of safety evaluation of spontaneous combustion in coal mines is proposed by combining entropy method and mutation theory.The evaluation index system with 4 grade of spontaneous combustion safety in coal mines was established, including 3 secondary indicators, 7 tertiary indicators and 19 cet-4 indicators, the secondary indicators are environment and management, human factors and physical factors. According to the actual situation of Songhe Coal Mine in Guizhou province, the spontaneous combustion was evaluated by the method, and the total mutation membership value of the coal mine was 0.612.The safety of this coal mine is medium, the air leakage in goaf was serious in environment and management, and it has poor heat dissipation conditions and many left coal, which were the main reason for the low safety of coal mine. It is in line with the basic safety condition of the coal mine and verifies the practicability of the evaluation method.

     

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