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基于博弈论组合赋权-TOPSIS的煤矿“一通三防”风险评估

Risk assessment of one-ventilation and three-prevention in coal mine based on game theory combination weighting-TOPSIS

  • 摘要: 对于煤矿“一通三防”工作环境复杂、风险隐患多、排查治理不到位等问题,笔者对煤矿“一通三防”中的风险因素进行识别和分析,构建煤矿“一通三防”风险评价模型并应用于陕西咸阳彬长矿业公司安全管理过程中。首先,从前人的文献、相关安全规章制度、专家咨询等方式选取煤矿企业“一通三防”风险评价指标,结合企业实地调研优化评价指标构建相应的评价指标体系;其次,采用改进层次分析法和熵权法进行主客观赋权,基于博弈论进行主客观组合权重计算,引入TOPSIS综合评价法,构建组合赋权-TOPSIS评价模型;最后,结合陕西咸阳市彬长矿区5家煤矿“一通三防”进行风险评估,结果表明:所构建的组合赋权-TOPSIS评价模型与实际情况基本一致。

     

    Abstract: In view of the complex working environment, many hidden risks and inadequate investigation and management of oneventilation and three-prevention in coal mines, this paper identifies and analyzes the risk factors in one-ventilation and three-prevention in coal mines, constructs the risk evaluation model of one-ventilation and three-prevention in coal mines and applies it to the safety management process of Shaanxi Xianyang Binchang Mining Company. Firstly, the risk evaluation index of one-ventilation and threeprevention in coal mining enterprises is selected from the previous literature, relevant safety rules and regulations, expert consultation and other methods, and the corresponding evaluation index system is constructed by combining the optimization evaluation index of enterprise field investigation. Secondly, the improved analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method are used to calculate the subjective and objective weights. Based on the game theory, the subjective and objective combination weights are calculated, and the TOPSIS comprehensive evaluation method is introduced to construct the combination weighting-TOPSIS evaluation model. Finally, combined with the risk assessment of one-ventilation and three-prevention in five coal mines in Bin chang mining area of Xianyang City, Shaanxi Province,the results show that the constructed combination weighting-TOPSIS evaluation model is basically consistent with the actual situation.

     

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