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准南煤田阜康矿区地表植被覆盖度变化趋势分析

Analysis on the Change Trend of Surface Vegetation Coverage in Fukang Mining Area of South Jungar Coalfield

  • 摘要: 为了解准南煤田阜康矿区地表植被变化情况及趋势,采用归一化植被指数法对Landsat遥感影像进行反演,得到矿区四级植被覆盖度面积,并采用灰色预测GM(1, 1)模型对其变化趋势进行预测分析。结果表明:2007—2017年,1级与2级植被覆盖度面积呈先增加后降低趋势;3级与4级植被覆盖度面积呈相反变化趋势。矿区植被分布受区内地表河流影响显著,其中4级植被覆盖度区域沿矿区内河流沿岸分布相对集中。灰色预测GM(1, 1)模型结果表明:2019—2027年,2级植被覆盖度面积呈逐年递增趋势,1级、3级与4级植被覆盖度面积呈逐年递减趋势。

     

    Abstract: In order to understand the change and trend of surface vegetation in Fukang Mining Area of South Jungar Coalfield, the normalized vegetation index method was used to invert Landsat remote sensing images, and the four levels of vegetation coverage area were obtained. The grey prediction GM(1, 1) model was used to predict and analyze its trend. The results show that from 2007 to 2017, the vegetation coverage area of level 1 and level 2 increases first and then decreases; the vegetation coverage area of level 3 and level 4 shows an opposite trend. The vegetation distribution in the mining area is significantly affected by the surface rivers in the area, the vegetation coverage area of level 4 are relatively concentrated along the river in the mining area. The results of grey prediction GM(1, 1) model shows that:from 2019 to 2027, the vegetation coverage area of level 2 will increase year by year, while that of level 1, level 3 and level 4 will decrease year by year.

     

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