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基于D-S理论改进的冲击地压危险性模糊综合评价

Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of Rock Burst Risk based on D-S Theory

  • 摘要: 由于煤矿地质条件复杂、开采技术多样化,冲击地压影响因子的权重存在着不确定性,评价时无法确定有关影响因子的合理权重。针对此问题,将D-S理论引入到模糊综合评价方法中,利用冲突证据合成方法,消除融合数据之间的冲突性来确定指标权重。运用改进的模糊综合评价方法对霄云煤矿冲击地压危险性进行评价,评价结果为“安全”等级,符合工程实际。实例分析表明:D-S理论在模糊综合评价中能更好地考虑指标的不确定性,评价结果准确、可靠,精度较高,具有较高的应用价值。

     

    Abstract: Due to the complexity of geological conditions and diversification of mining technology,the impact factors of rock burst are uncertain, and the reasonable weight of the relevant influencing factors can not be determined in the evaluation.In view of this problem,the D-S theory is introduced into the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,and the conflict evidence synthesis method is used to eliminate the conflict between the fusion data to determine the index weight.The improved fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to evaluate the risk of rock burst in Xiaoyun Coal Mine,and the evaluation result is safe, which is in line with the actual engineering.The example analysis shows that the D-S theory can better consider the uncertainty of the index in fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and the evaluation result is accurate and reliable with high accuracy and application value.

     

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