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面向边缘计算的采空区灾害气体时序预测模型研究

Research on an edge computing-oriented time series prediction model for hazardous gases in goaf

  • 摘要: 针对矿井采空区瓦斯异常与煤自燃等灾害的预测难题,为实现由实时报警向事前预警的转变,提出了一种面向边缘计算的采空区气体多变量时序融合预测模型,以解决现有方法预测变量单一、模型复杂且难以部署的核心问题。模型采用时频协同架构,将时序数据分解为趋势项与季节项,在时域通过改进的轻量化Transformer编码器捕捉气体浓度的宏观变化趋势,再在频域利用紧凑的频域网络解析周期性规律,从而实现多气体信息的融合建模。基于孔庄煤矿现场监测数据的实验表明:在多变量预测模式下,对CO的预测精度显著优于单变量基线,验证了多气体融合建模的有效性;在煤自燃数据集上,模型预测精度较基线模型iTransformer与Mamba模型分别提升18.1%、22.4%,充分证明了多变量协同信息对预测性能的实质性改进作用;模型平均推理速度达30 ms,显存占用较iTransformer降低约45%,该效率优势源于时频协同计算带来的近似线性复杂度及双路计算有效规避了内存瓶颈。模型在预测精度、计算效率与边缘部署可行性之间取得了良好平衡,为煤矿井下灾害智能预警提供了实用技术路径。

     

    Abstract: To address the challenge of predicting gas outbursts and spontaneous coal combustion in goaf, and to shift from real-time alerting to proactive prediction, this study proposes an edge-computing-oriented multi-variable temporal fusion prediction model for gas monitoring in goaf. This model tackles the key limitations of existing methods: their narrow predictive dimensions and overly complex architectures that hinder edge deployment. The model adopts a time-frequency collaborative architecture. Specifically, it decomposes the time series data into trend and seasonal components. In the time domain, an enhanced lightweight Transformer encoder captures the macroscopic trends of gas concentrations, while in the frequency domain, a compact network extracts periodic patterns, enabling multi-gas information fusion. Experiments using field monitoring data from Kongzhuang Coal Mine demonstrate that, under the multi-variable prediction mode, the model achieves significantly higher CO prediction accuracy than the single-variable baseline, validating the effectiveness of multi-gas fusion modeling. On a coal spontaneous combustion dataset, the proposed model improves prediction accuracy by 18.1% and 22.4% compared to iTransformer and Mamba, respectively, highlighting the substantial benefit of multivariate collaborative information for predictive performance. The model attains an average inference speed of 30 milliseconds, with GPU memory consumption reduced by approximately 45% relative to the baseline (iTransformer). This efficiency advantage arises from the near-linear complexity enabled by time-frequency collaborative computation and the effective mitigation of memory bottlenecks via dual-path computation. In summary, the proposed model achieves a favorable balance among prediction accuracy, computational efficiency, and edge deployment feasibility, offering a practical technical pathway for intelligent early warning of underground coal mine disasters.

     

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