• 中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • RCCSE中国核心学术期刊
  • Scopus, DOAJ, CA, AJ, JST收录期刊
高级检索

动态溢出奖惩机制下有限空间作业人员不安全行为博弈研究

Game research on unsafe behavior of operators in limited space under dynamic overflow reward and punishment mechanism

  • 摘要: 为有效约束有限空间作业人员不安全行为,从有限理性角度出发,构建有限空间作业人员和管理人员的演化博弈模型,探究不同奖惩机制下的主体策略演化过程,在此基础上通过数值仿真分析不同参数变化对系统演化轨迹的影响。研究发现,管理人员采取溢出效应奖惩机制时,不存在稳定策略组合,采用动态奖惩机制可以实现演化稳定状态,动态溢出奖惩机制的管理效果优于动态奖惩机制;管理人员和作业人员的安全行为与安全投入成本呈负相关关系,与奖惩上限值和政府惩罚值呈正相关关系。研究结果从降低安全管理投入成本、完善安全管理奖惩机制、加强第三方监管3个方面为有限空间作业安全管理提出了建议与措施。

     

    Abstract: In order to effectively restrain the unsafe behavior of operators in limited space, this paper constructed an evolutionary game model of operators and managers in limited space from the perspective of bounded rationality. The evolution process of main strategies under different reward and punishment mechanisms was explored. On this basis, the influence of different parameter changes on the system evolution trajectory was analyzed through numerical simulation.It is found that when managers adopt the overflow effect reward and punishment mechanism, there is no stable strategy combination. The dynamic reward and punishment mechanism can achieve an evolutionary stable state. The management effect of the dynamic overflow reward and punishment mechanism is better than that of the dynamic reward and punishment mechanism. Safety behavior of managers and operators is negatively correlated with safety input cost, and positively correlated with reward and punishment upper limits and government punishment. The research results put forward suggestions and measures for safety management in limited space operation from three aspects: reducing the input cost of safety management, improving the reward and punishment mechanism of safety management and strengthening the third-party supervision.

     

/

返回文章
返回