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基于DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC的煤矿瓦斯爆炸致因研究

Research on causal factors of coal mine gas explosion based on DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC

  • 摘要: 为更好解释瓦斯爆炸事故致因,从定性与定量的角度对瓦斯爆炸事故致因进行分析,深入探讨事故致因之间的逻辑关系、演化路径和属性特征。首先,通过大量事故案例统计分析,从宏观、中观和微观层次提取30个瓦斯爆炸事故致因;然后,运用DEMATEL方法定量分析各致因之间相互影响关系,并结合ISM-MICMAC方法,通过对事故致因进行多级递阶层次结构划分,探求导致事故发生的原因要素、结果要素、根源要素,以及各要素的属性特征,并提出相应的对策措施。研究结果可为预防瓦斯爆炸事故的发生提供理论参考。

     

    Abstract: In order to better explain the causes of gas explosion accidents, the causal factors were analyzed from the qualitative and quantitative perspectives, and the logical relationship, evolution path and attribute characteristics among the causal factors of gas explosion accidents were deeply discussed. Firstly, through the statistical analysis of many accident cases, 30 causal factors of gas explosion accident were extracted from the macro, meso and micro levels. Then, DEMATEL method was used to quantitatively analyze the interaction between the causal factors, and combined with ISM-MICMAC method, through the multi-level hierarchical structure division of the cause, the cause elements, result elements, root elements and the attribute characteristics of each element were explored. Finally, the corresponding countermeasures were put forward. The research results can provide a theoretical reference for preventing gas explosion accidents.

     

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