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基于组合权重—集对分析的地压风险预评估

Prediction assessment of ground pressure risk based on combination weight and set pair analysis

  • 摘要: 复杂采动环境条件下,地压监测点位置直接影响到地压监测的效果及质量。为了科学合理选取地压监测位置,达到重点区域重点监测的目的,需要在地压监测前进行预评估。通过建立组合权重—集对分析的地压风险评价模型,以岩石单轴抗压强度、岩体完整性系数、地下水条件、结构面条件、开采环境因素等5项指标作为评判因素,结合熵权法和层次分析法,对地压风险进行评价,并通过罗河铁矿地压监测实例进行了评估验证。结果表明:5号和7号样本等级均为Ⅳ级,属于风险程度较高级别,与现场实际监测情况吻合。采用组合权重—集对分析模型可为地压监测关键区域的选取及监测点的布设提供较为客观合理的参考依据,也为采场地压预警提供了一条新思路。

     

    Abstract: In complex mining environment, the location of monitoring points directly affects the effect and quality of ground pressure monitoring. In order to select the location of ground pressure monitoring scientifically and reasonably and achieve the effect of key monitoring in key areas, it is necessary to conduct a pre-evaluation before ground pressure monitoring. In this paper, the risk evaluation model of ground pressure based on combination weight and set pair analysis is established. Five indexes, including rock uniaxial compressive strength, rock mass integrity coefficient, groundwater condition, structural plane condition and mining environment factor, are taken as evaluation factors. The risk of ground pressure is evaluated by combining entropy weight method and analytic hierarchy process, it is verified by the example of ground pressure monitoring in Luohe Iron Mine. The results show that the grade of No. 5 and No. 7 samples is Ⅳ, which belongs to high risk level and is consistent with the actual monitoring situation. The combination weight and set pair analysis model can provide a more objective and reasonable reference for the selection of key areas of ground pressure monitoring and the layout of monitoring points, and also provides a new idea for the ground pressure early warning of stope.

     

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